Background
Lichtman, Allan Jay was born on April 4, 1947 in Brooklyn. Son of Emanuel and Gertrude Louise (Cohen) Lichtman.
( Do you think that Mitt Romney’s “47%” comment caused hi...)
Do you think that Mitt Romney’s “47%” comment caused him to lose the 2012 presidential election? Or that Richard Nixon lost the 1960 presidential election because he sweated on TV? Maybe John Kerry was “swiftboated” out of the presidency in 2004? Think again! In Predicting the Next President , political analyst and historian Allan J. Lichtman presents thirteen historical factors, or “keys” (four political, seven performance, and two personality), that determine the outcome of presidential elections. In the chronological, successful application of these keys to every election since 1860, Lichtman dispels much of the mystery behind electoral politics and challenges many traditional assumptions. An indispensable resource for political junkies!
http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1442269200/?tag=2022091-20
(The revolutionary system that reveals how presidential el...)
The revolutionary system that reveals how presidential elections really work from the civil war to the 21st century. As controversial as it is compelling this book fundamentally alters our understanding of presidential politics.
http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0819170089/?tag=2022091-20
(With The Keys to the White House: A Surefire Guide to Pre...)
With The Keys to the White House: A Surefire Guide to Predicting the Next President, average citizens are giving the pollsters and pundits a run for their money. In this book, prominent political analyst and historian Allan J. Lichtman presents thirteen historical factors, or "keys" (four political, seven performance, and two personality), that determine the outcome of presidential elections. In the chronological, successful application of these keys to every election since 1860―including the 2000 election where Al Gore was predicted to and did indeed win the popular vote, and the 2004 contest for Bush's reelection―Lichtman dispels much of the mystery behind electoral politics and challenges many traditional assumptions. Scholars of the electoral process, their students, and general readers who want to get a head-start on calling Decision 2008 should not miss this book.
http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0742562700/?tag=2022091-20
(This paper considers the possible effects of making infer...)
This paper considers the possible effects of making inferences about individuals from aggregate data. It assumes a knowledge of regression analysis, and explores the utility of techniques designed to make the inferences in causal modelling more reliable, including a comparison between ecological regression models and ecological correlation.
http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0803909411/?tag=2022091-20
Lichtman, Allan Jay was born on April 4, 1947 in Brooklyn. Son of Emanuel and Gertrude Louise (Cohen) Lichtman.
Bachelor magna cum laude, Brandeis U., 1967; Doctor of Philosophy, Harvard University, 1973.
Director forensics, Brandeis U., Waltham, Massachusetts, 1968-1971;
director forensics, Harvard University, Cambridge, Massachusetts, 1971-1972;
assistant professor of history, The American U., Washington, 1973-1977.
associate professor of history, The American U., Washington, 1977-1978;
professor of history, The American U., Washington, since 1978;
associate dean faculty and curricular development college arts & science, The American U., Washington, 1985-1987;
chair department history, The American U., Washington, since 1997. Instructor Brandeis U., 1970. Consultant Smithsonian Institution, 1974-1979, John Anderson campaign for President, 1980, George Washington University, 1983, unites states department Justice, Washington, since 1983, V.P. Albert Gore, Junior, Washington, 1994-1995.
Advisor Ted Kennedy for President campaign, 1980. Consultant, commentatorNBC special project on the history of the American Presidency. News consultant Columbia Broadcasting System.
Political commentator NBC News Nightside, Voice of America, United States Information Agency, American's Talking Cable Network. Expert witness Committee for Civil Rights Under Law,1983-, unites states department Justice, since 1983, private attorneys, since 1986, various state, municipal and county jurisdictions, since 1986, American Civil Liberties Union, since 1987, Southern Poverty Law Center, 1990, Legal Defense Fund, 1991, Puerto Rican Legal Defense and Education Fund, since 1991, National Association for the Advancement of Colored People, 1993-1994, Reform Party, 1996. Columnist Montgomery Journal, Rockville, Maryland., since 1990, Reuters News Svc., 1996.
Appeared on various radio and television programs. Speaker at more than 50 conferences.
( Do you think that Mitt Romney’s “47%” comment caused hi...)
(With The Keys to the White House: A Surefire Guide to Pre...)
(The revolutionary system that reveals how presidential el...)
(This paper considers the possible effects of making infer...)
(Will be shipped from US. Brand new copy.)
(Will be shipped from US. Brand new copy.)
Member American Historian Association, Organisation American Historians, Social Science History Association, Federal City Club, Phi Alpha Phi, Phi Beta Kappa.
Married Katherine Martin Crane, June 6, 1970 (divorced). 1 child, Kara Martin. Married Shelia Bradford, 1980 (divorced).
Married Karyn Lynn Strickler, June 8, 1991. 1 child, Samuel Allan.