Background
David Spiegelhalter was born on August 16, 1953, Barnstaple, Devon, United Kingdom.
2014
David Spiegelhalter with Professor David Hand and Royal Statistical Society Centre for Statistical Education Team at Winton Group in 2014.
2017
David Spiegelhalter at Nation University of Singapore on June 16, 2017.
University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 2JD, United Kingdom
The University of Oxford where David Spiegelhalter received his Bachelor of Arts degree.
Gower St, Bloomsbury, London WC1E 6BT, United Kingdom
University College London where David Spiegelhalter received his Master of Science and a Doctor of Philosophy degree.
David Spiegelhalter at 5x15 Stories.
David Spiegelhalter
David Spiegelhalter
David Spiegelhalter
David Spiegelhalter
David Spiegelhalter
David Spiegelhalter with Ronald Fisher at People of Science of The Royal Society.
David Spiegelhalter with the Winton Centre team.
Guy Medal in silver which David Spiegelhalter received in 1994.
David Spiegelhalter at Loop Championship.
(General state-space Markov chain theory has seen several ...)
General state-space Markov chain theory has seen several developments that have made it both more accessible and more powerful to the general statistician. Markov Chain Monte Carlo in Practice introduces MCMC methods and their applications, providing some theoretical background as well. The authors are researchers who have made key contributions to the recent development of MCMC methodology and its application. Considering the broad audience, the editors emphasize practice rather than theory, keeping the technical content to a minimum. The examples range from the simplest application, Gibbs sampling, to more complex applications.
https://www.amazon.com/Markov-Practice-Chapman-Interdisciplinary-Statistics/dp/0412055511/?tag=2022091-20
1996
(Probabilistic expert systems are graphical networks which...)
Probabilistic expert systems are graphical networks which support the modeling of uncertainty and decisions in large complex domains while retaining ease of calculation. Building on original research by the authors, this book gives a thorough and rigorous mathematical treatment of the underlying ideas, structures, and algorithms. The book will be of interest to researchers in both artificial intelligence and statistics, who desire an introduction to this fascinating and rapidly developing field.
https://www.amazon.com/Probabilistic-Networks-Expert-Systems-Computational/dp/0387987673
2003
(The Bayesian approach involves synthesizing data and judg...)
The Bayesian approach involves synthesizing data and judgment in order to reach conclusions about unknown quantities and make predictions. Bayesian methods have become increasingly popular in recent years, notably in medical research, and although there are a number of books on Bayesian analysis, few cover clinical trials and biostatistical applications in any detail. Bayesian Approaches to Clinical Trials and Health-Care Evaluation provides a valuable overview of this rapidly evolving field, including basic Bayesian ideas, prior distributions, clinical trials, observational studies, evidence synthesis, and cost-effectiveness analysis.
https://www.amazon.com/Bayesian-Approaches-Clinical-Health-Care-Evaluation/dp/0471499757/?tag=2022091-20
2004
(Bayesian statistical methods have become widely used for ...)
Bayesian statistical methods have become widely used for data analysis and modeling in recent years, and the BUGS software has become the most popular software for Bayesian analysis worldwide. Authored by the team that originally developed this software, The BUGS Book provides a practical introduction to this program and its use. The text presents complete coverage of all the functionalities of BUGS, including prediction, missing data, model criticism, and prior sensitivity. It also features a large number of worked examples and a wide range of applications from various disciplines.
https://www.amazon.com/BUGS-Chapman-Texts-Statistical-Science/dp/1584888490/?tag=2022091-20
2009
(Is it safer to fly or take the train? How dangerous is sk...)
Is it safer to fly or take the train? How dangerous is skydiving? And is eating that extra sausage going to kill you? We've all heard the statistics for risky activities, but what do they mean in the real world? In The Norm Chronicles, journalist Michael Blastland and risk expert David Spiegelhalter explore these questions through the stories of average Norm and an ingenious measurement called the MicroMort-a one in a million chance of dying. They reveal why general anesthesia is as dangerous as a parachute jump, giving birth in the US is nearly twice as risky as in the UK, and that the radiation from eating a banana shaves 3 seconds off your life. An entertaining guide to the statistics of personal risk, The Norm Chronicles will enlighten anyone who has ever worried about the dangers we encounter in our daily lives.
https://www.amazon.com/Norm-Chronicles-Stories-Numbers-Danger/dp/0465085709/?tag=2022091-20
2013
(Whatever society we live in, and however open-minded we l...)
Whatever society we live in, and however open-minded we like to think we are when it comes to the sex lives we all like to keep a few secrets. But this makes the jobs of sexologists - professionals who study sexual behavior - pretty difficult. David Spiegelhalter is here to unravel the web of exaggerations, misdirections and downright lies that surround sex in modern society. Drawing on the Natsal survey, the widest survey of sexual behavior since the Kinsey Report, he answers crucial questions such as what are we all doing? How often? And how has it changed?
https://www.amazon.com/Sex-Numbers-Statistics-Behaviour-Wellcome-ebook/dp/B00NG3OJUK/?tag=2022091-20
2015
(Written by leading subject specialists, Teaching Probabil...)
Written by leading subject specialists, Teaching Probability is designed to support teaching concepts in probability by providing a new approach to this difficult subject from a perspective not limited by a syllabus, giving teachers both theoretical and practical knowledge of an innovative way of teaching probability. This alternative approach to teaching probability focuses on the methods that teachers can apply to help their students engage with the topic using experiments and mathematical models to solve problems, considering how to overcome common misconceptions and the way in which probability can be communicated.
https://www.amazon.com/Teaching-Probability-Jenny-Gage/dp/1316605892/?tag=2022091-20
2016
(In The Art of Statistics, David Spiegelhalter shows reade...)
In The Art of Statistics, David Spiegelhalter shows readers how to derive knowledge from raw data by focusing on the concepts and connections behind the math. Drawing on real-world examples to introduce complex issues, he shows us how statistics can help us determine the luckiest passenger on the Titanic, whether a notorious serial killer could have been caught earlier, and if screening for ovarian cancer is beneficial. The Art of Statistics not only shows us how mathematicians have used statistical science to solve these problems - it teaches us how we too can think like statisticians. We learn how to clarify our questions, assumptions, and expectations when approaching a problem, and - perhaps even more importantly - we learn how to responsibly interpret the answers we receive.
https://www.amazon.com/Art-Statistics-How-Learn-Data/dp/1541618513/?tag=2022091-20
2019
(In The Art of Statistics, David Spiegelhalter guides the ...)
In The Art of Statistics, David Spiegelhalter guides the reader through the essential principles we need in order to derive knowledge from data. Drawing on real-world problems to introduce conceptual issues, he shows us how statistics can help us determine the luckiest passenger on the Titanic, whether serial killer Harold Shipman could have been caught earlier, and if screening for ovarian cancer is beneficial. How many trees are there on the planet? Do busier hospitals have higher survival rates? Why do old men have big ears? Spiegelhalter reveals the answers to these and many other questions - questions that can only be addressed using statistical science.
https://www.amazon.com/Art-Statistics-Learning-Pelican-Books/dp/0241398630/?tag=2022091-20
2019
David Spiegelhalter was born on August 16, 1953, Barnstaple, Devon, United Kingdom.
David Spiegelhalter studied at Barnstaple Grammar School from 1963 to 1970. Then he received a Bachelor of Arts degree from the University of Oxford in 1974. In 1975 he received a Master of Science degree from University College London and a Doctor of Philosophy degree in 1978, supervised by Adrian Smith.
David Spiegelhalter started his career as a research assistant at Brunel University London in 1976. In 1977-1978 he was a visiting lecturer at the University of California, Berkeley. In 1978, after receiving his Doctor of Philosophy degree, he became a research assistant for the Royal College of Physicians, being based at the University of Nottingham.
From 1981 he worked at the Medical Research Council Biostatistics Unit at Cambridge. He headed the team that developed WinBUGS, a statistical-modeling system allowing hierarchical prior distributions. Spiegelhalter played a leading role during the 2003 public inquiries into children’s heart surgery at the Bristol Royal Infirmary and the murders by Harold Shipman.
He has also been an honorary lecturer at the University of Hong Kong since 1991. From October 2007 until December 2018 he was the Winton Professor for the Public Understanding of Risk in the Statistical Laboratory, Centre for Mathematical Sciences, University of Cambridge. In 2012 he left Medical Research Council. That same year, Spiegelhalter hosted the BBC documentary Tails You Win: The Science of Chance, on the application of probability in everyday life.
From October 2016 he has been Chair of the Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication at University of Cambridge. He has been a guest columnist in The Times, The Guardian, New Scientist, and Plus Magazine, and he has made appearances on television documentaries and radio programs such as The Joy of Stats (BBC 4 TV), To Infinity and Beyond (BBC2 TV), Today, More or Less, You and Yours, The Investigation, Analysis, PM and others.
Spiegelhalter also wrote books such as Sex by Numbers: What Statistics Can Tell Us About Sexual Behaviour, The Art of Statistics: Learning from Data, and The Art of Statistics: How to Learn from Data. He co-wrote books including The BUGS Book: A Practical Introduction to Bayesian Analysis, Markov Chain Monte Carlo in Practice, The Norm Chronicles: Stories and Numbers About Danger and Death, Teaching Probability, Probabilistic Networks and Expert Systems: Exact Computational Methods for Bayesian Networks, Bayesian Approaches to Clinical Trials and Health-Care Evaluation, and Machine Learning, Neural And Statistical Classification: Artificial Intelligence.
(Is it safer to fly or take the train? How dangerous is sk...)
2013(Written by leading subject specialists, Teaching Probabil...)
2016(Bayesian statistical methods have become widely used for ...)
2009(Probabilistic expert systems are graphical networks which...)
2003(In The Art of Statistics, David Spiegelhalter shows reade...)
2019(General state-space Markov chain theory has seen several ...)
1996(In The Art of Statistics, David Spiegelhalter guides the ...)
2019(Whatever society we live in, and however open-minded we l...)
2015(The Bayesian approach involves synthesizing data and judg...)
2004In 1975 David Spiegelhalter became a fellow of Royal Statistical Society, in 1933 he was recognized as Chartered Statistician by Royal Statistical Society, in 2005 was elected a Fellow of the Royal Society.
David Spiegelhalter is the reigning World Champion in Loop, the version of pool invented by Alex Bellos which is played on an elliptical table with a single pocket.