Background
Zarnowitz, Victor was born on November 3, 1919 in Lancut, Poland. Came to United States, 1952, naturalized, 1957. Son of Leopold and Bertha (Blumenfeld) Zarnowitz.
(NBER, 1967, Very good., Blue boards, silver title. Text c...)
NBER, 1967, Very good., Blue boards, silver title. Text clean, bright, Minor foxing on blank endpages. No dust jacket. Natl Bureau of Economic Research Occasional Paper, 104. [Economics, Forecasting] Out-of-print and antiquarian booksellers since 1933. We pack and ship with care.
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(Book by Zarnowitz, Victor)
Book by Zarnowitz, Victor
http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0870142151/?tag=2022091-20
( Victor Zarnowitz is a world-famous economist. Victor Za...)
Victor Zarnowitz is a world-famous economist. Victor Zarnowitz is also a man who grew up in the Polish town of Oswiecim, known in German as Auschwitz. Zarnowitz and his brother fled the area as the Nazis advanced in September 1939. Moving eastward, he landed right in the arms of the Soviets and was sent to a Siberian Gulag. How did this brilliant young man, who nearly died at the hands of the Soviets, end up a renowned University of Chicago economist? That's exactly what this inspiring, lyrical memoir—told in simple, captivating prose—is all about. The recipient of many prizes and honors, Zarnowitz is still, at age eighty-seven, one of the six economists who decide officially that the U.S. is in a recession. He is also a captivating writer and his memoir a thrilling page turner: -In September 1939 Victor and his brother walked the entire width of Poland with the blitzkrieg just behind them. They ran right into oncoming Soviet troops. Zarnowitz was trapped at the junction of the two most fearsome armies the world had ever seen. He was literally standing in the center point of history. -The Soviets considered Polish refugees prisoners of war. In 1940, they transported Zarnowitz and his brother thousands of miles north and put them to work in Stalin's oldest Gulag. They earned their daily gruel and bread crusts by trying to meet impossible work quotas. The last third of the book brings the story up to date, telling, in a non-technical manner, of Zarnowitz's life in America and his professional career. It includes his observations of other economists and their ideas, his own contributions to business-cycle theory and economic indicators, and his thoughts on more than a half-century of American history. While memoirs of the Holocaust are plentiful, the Jewish experience in Stalin's Gulags has been virtually forgotten. Weaving politics and economics into the harrowing tale of his personal journey, Zarnowitz's inspiring life story provides a priceless perspective on some of the most traumatic upheavals of the 20th century—and on the resilience and power of the human spirit.
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Zarnowitz, Victor was born on November 3, 1919 in Lancut, Poland. Came to United States, 1952, naturalized, 1957. Son of Leopold and Bertha (Blumenfeld) Zarnowitz.
Student, University Cracow, Poland, 1937—1939. Master of Arts in Economics, University Heidelberg, Germany, 1949. Doctor of Philosophy summa cum laude, University Heidelberg, Germany, 1951.
Tutor, instructor economics University Heidelberg, also Graduate School Business, Mannheim, Germany, 1949-1951. Analyst National Bureau Economic Research, 1952-1959, member senior research staff, 1963-1978, research associate, 1979—2009. Lecturer, then visiting professor Columbia University, 1956-1959.
Member faculty Graduate School Business, University Chicago, 1959—2009, professor economics & finance, 1965-1990, professor emeritus, 1990—2009. Director study of business cycle indicators, consultant Bureau Economic Analysis, United States Department Commerce, 1972-1993. Research associate Center for International Business Cycle Research, Columbia University, co-director research, 1994-1995.
Director research Foundation International Business and Economic Research, 1995-2000. Senior fellow, economic counselor The Conference Board, 1999-2009.
Post-doctoral Research Fellow, United States-Social Science Research Council, United Kingdom or United States of America, 1953-1954. Ford Foundation Faculty Research Fellow, 1963-4. Fellow, American Statistical Association, 1976.
Member, Coordinating Committee United States Center, Internal Research Economics Tendency Surveys (CIRET), Paris, France.
( Victor Zarnowitz is a world-famous economist. Victor Za...)
(Book by Zarnowitz, Victor)
(NBER, 1967, Very good., Blue boards, silver title. Text c...)
Author: Unfilled Orders, Price Changes and Business Fluctuations, 1962, An Appraisal of Short Term Economic Forecasts, 1967, The Business Cycle Today, 1972, Orders, Production and Investment, 1973, An Analysis of Forecasts of Aggregate Income, Output, and the Price Level, 1979, Business Cycles and Growth, 1981, On Functions, Quality, and Timeliness of Economic Information, 1982, The Accuracy of Individual and Group Forecasts from Business Outlook Surveys, 1984, Recent Work on Business Cycles in Historical Perspective, 1985, Rational Expectations and Macroeconomic Forecasts, 1985, What is a Business Cycle?, 1992, Has Macro-Forecasting Failed?, 1993, Cyclical Indicators and National Accounts, 1998, Has the Business Cycle Been Abolished?, 1998, Theory and History Behind Business Cycles: Are the 1990s the Onset of a Golden Age?, 1999, The Old and the New in the United States Economic Expansion, 2000, Fleeing the Nazis, Surviving the Gulag, and Arriving in the Free World, 2008. Co-author:,(with C. Boschan) Cyclical Indicators: An Evaluation and New Leading Indexes, 1975, (with G.H. Moore) Sequential Signs of Recession and Recovery, 1982, (with G.H. Moore) Major Changes in Cyclical Behavior, 1986, (with Los Angeles Lambros) Consensus and Uncertainty in Economic Prediction. Business Cycles: Theory, History, Indicators and Forecasting, 1992,(with Phillip Braun) Twenty Two Years of the National Bureau of Economic Research- ASA Quarterly Economic Outlook Surveys, 1993, (with Alan.L. Montgomery and George Tiao) Forecasting the United States Unemployment Rate, 1998, More Timely and Useful Index of Leading Indicators, 2001, Time Series Decomposition and Measurement of Business Cycles, Trends and Growth Cycles, 2002. Co-author, editor: The Business Cycle Today, 1972. Contributor to books.
Contributed to the study of the nature and sources of business cycles and their various aspects and manifestations. Worked on the cyclical behaviour of prices. Orders and production.
Inventories; business failures. New business formation. And fixed
capital investment.
Studied the interrelations of business cycles, growth and inflation. Problems of identifying and dating historical expansions and contractions. And implications for cyclical analysis of macroeconometric model simulations.
Analysed the properties and accuracy of different types of economic forecasts: judgemental, econometric, based on survey data and time-series models. Sought to provide a systematic basis for comparative studies in this area by directing and evaluating quarterly surveys of multiperiod forecasts of the United States economy. Conducted research resulting in the revision of the system of leading, coincident, and lagging business-cycle indicators for the United States.
Fellow National Association Business Economists, American Statistical Association. Member American Economic Association, Ciret (honorary). Post-doctoral Research Fellow, United States-Social Science Research Council, United Kingdom or United States of America, 1953-1954; Ford Foundation Faculty Research Fellow, 1963-4; Fellow, American Statistical Association, 1976; Member, Coordinating Committee United States Center, Internal Research Economics Tendency.
Married Lena Engelman, January 12, 1946 (deceased 2000). Children: Steven L., Arthur H.
